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Federal Reserve Holds Rates Amid Inflation and Oil Price Concerns

Markets expect rates to stay at 3.75% to 4% before the US elections while looking for clues on December moves.

Macroeconomics Editor: Fabricio Marcilio 1 min read

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Amid Inflation and Oil Price Concerns
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged this Wednesday. The decision comes just six days before the midterm elections in the United States.

Current inflation of 3.7% and high oil prices are putting pressure on the monetary authority. The financial market assigns a probability of over 90% for maintaining rates in the 3.75% to 4% range.

Investors are focusing their attention on statements from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. The goal is to identify potential paths for monetary policy as the year comes to a close.

There is a 73% expectation for a 0.25 percentage point increase at the December meeting. This scenario reflects caution regarding the persistence of high prices in the American economy.

The central bank's stance on inflationary data and energy tensions directly influences risk appetite. The rise or fall of the dollar and the volatility of Bitcoin depend on the perception of future monetary tightening.

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