ECB Survey Projects Higher Eurozone Inflation Through 2027
Experts have raised their price and economic growth forecasts for the European bloc over the coming years.
Macroeconomics Editor: Fabricio Marcilio 1 min read
The European Central Bank's quarterly survey of experts points to 3.0% inflation for 2026. The figure for 2027 has been adjusted to 2.6%.
Projections for 2028 remain at 2.0%. In the long term, expectations for 2031 stay anchored to the 2.0% target for both headline and core inflation.
Real GDP growth is expected to reach 1.0% in 2026. For 2027 and 2028, the forecast is for an expansion of 1.3% per year.
Analysts cited the conflict in the Middle East as a pressure factor for energy prices. This impact is expected to be felt primarily throughout 2027.
The unemployment rate in the region is projected to end 2026 at 6.4%. The expected trend is a gradual decline to 6.1% over the long-term horizon.
The scenario of persistent inflation and moderate growth in Europe puts pressure on monetary policy. This may strengthen the euro against the dollar and alter the demand for risk assets such as Bitcoin.
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