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Edition of Wednesday, November 4, 2026

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Geopolitics

Oil Prices Plunge 8% Following Democratic Wins in US Elections

Brasília time 1 min read

Oil Prices Plunge 8% Following Democratic Wins in US Elections
Photo: Diego Delso, CC BY-SA 3.0, Wikimedia Commons

The commodity drop reflects expectations of lower geopolitical tension in the Middle East and shifts in American foreign policy.

Oil prices saw a sharp decline this Wednesday following the results of the United States midterm elections. Brent crude closed down 8.66% at $94.62 per barrel, while WTI fell 8.29% to reach $88.12.

The movement occurred due to the perception that the Democratic victory in Congress could reduce the escalation of conflict between the United States and Iran. Analysts note that the new legislature is expected to intensify oversight of military spending and pursue diplomatic solutions for the region.

The political landscape triggered immediate reactions across global markets. Bitcoin showed a recovery and stabilized near $80,000, driven by a short squeeze as investors liquidated short positions.

Financial institutions are divided on the sustainability of this oil price drop. While some experts believe in a downward trajectory if navigation in the Strait of Hormuz becomes safer, others remain cautious regarding the real possibility of an agreement between Washington and Tehran.

The American government still has a two-month transition period before the new congresspeople take office. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs described the election result as a clear message and warned of potential consequences if these directions are ignored.

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