US Elections Put Republican Congressional Majority at Risk
Management fatigue and food inflation challenge Trump's base in the midterms
President Donald Trump faces the risk of losing control of Congress in the midterm elections. Although he maintains a loyal electoral base, polls show that his supporters are less willing to vote for Republican Party candidates than the mobilization recorded among Democrats.
Inflation of basic items, such as beef, has become a point of friction for the administration. The price of the product has risen more than 22% since the beginning of his term, driven by a reduction in the national herd and trade policies that have caused dissatisfaction among both consumers and rural producers.
White House strategists are already preparing plans to govern through executive orders if Democrats win a majority in the legislature. The goal is to maintain progress on immigration, tariffs, and federal spending without the need for parliamentary approval.
The current political landscape reflects a shift in party structure, where Trump's figure concentrates the identity of the right-wing electorate. Republican candidates face the challenge of mobilizing these voters without the president's name directly on the ballot.
Political instability in the United States tends to increase volatility in global markets, impacting risk appetite and the pricing of the dollar against other currencies.
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